June 2025 Mid-Month Industry Briefing
As we move into the latter half of June, QFS would like to provide our valued clients with an update on the current trends in the diesel and petrol markets, along with key developments affecting the fuel industry across Gauteng and the broader South African region.
The month has so far presented a mixed picture in terms of pricing. Based on the most recent forecasts from the Central Energy Fund (CEF), there are signs of moderate adjustments coming in July 2025. Diesel prices are currently projected to rise, with increases estimated in the range of 40 to 65 cents per litre. This anticipated uptick is mainly due to continued weakness in the rand, which has recently traded less favourably against the US dollar. With diesel being a largely imported commodity, instability in the middle east may have a massive impact closer to month end on the price mentioned above.
On the petrol side, however, the outlook is slightly more optimistic. Unleaded petrol—both 93 and 95 octane—is expected to see a modest decrease of around 5 to 10 cents per litre. This is largely a result of reduced international demand and relatively stable crude oil benchmarks, which have helped ease upward price pressure for the time being.
In Gauteng, we are seeing steady demand from industrial clients, logistics operators, and backup power users, particularly in light of continued load shedding cycles.
Diesel remains a crucial input in these sectors, and we’ve noted increased interest in bulk purchasing and forward planning to mitigate any short-term supply or pricing risks. Clients are encouraged to consider placing orders early to ensure availability, especially if operations are time-sensitive or reliant on consistent power supply.
Meanwhile, several infrastructure improvements are underway at regional depots in Gauteng. While these upgrades are positive for the long-term efficiency of fuel distribution, they may temporarily affect turnaround times for some deliveries.
We advise all clients to plan refueling schedules accordingly, and as always, our logistics team is ready to assist with updates and alternative planning where needed.
These are the projections at mid-month:
- Petrol 93: decrease of 8 cents per litre
- Petrol 95: decrease of 10 cents per litre
- Diesel 0.005% (wholesale): increase of 43 cents per litre
The transport sector is also facing increased pressure, with rising insurance premiums and stricter compliance requirements beginning to impact logistics costs across the board. These upstream pressures are likely to filter down to fuel wholesalers and may influence distribution fees later this year. For now, our pricing structure remains stable, and we are committed to absorbing as much of these external increases as possible to continue delivering competitive value to our customers.
Looking ahead, it may be worthwhile to review your fuel needs for July and consider ordering in advance—particularly if you’re running high-demand operations or have been affected by supplier backlogs in the past. Our team is ready to assist you with tailored solutions, quotes, and scheduling to help reduce the impact of price fluctuations or delays.
We thank you for your continued partnership. Our commitment to reliable service, transparent communication, and market intelligence remains unchanged, and we are proud to support your business through every market shift.
For any inquiries, urgent orders, or consultation requests, please feel free to contact us directly. We’re here to ensure you stay fueled and focused on what matters most—running your business efficiently and effectively.